the focus of the analysis, that in recent years the economy has been in the eminence of a serious crisis of insolvency, with a similar or worse situation that the observed one, for example, in Brazil or Argentina, at the moment that had been deflagradas its crises of 8 twin deficit. Public deficit – the document ' ' Fiscal Long-Term Outlook – Action Is Needed you the Avoid the Possibility of the Serious Economic Disruption in the Future' ' it was presented in January of 2008 to the American Senate for the GAO – United States Government Accountability Office and mainly tells that, if it did not have one adjusted and deep intervention, U.S.A. would face a spiral of public growth of dficits, in result of the misalignments of the system of public health and the spite of the improvements verified in 9 the public accounts in recent years. Graph 1: Unified Surpluses and Deficits a Share of GDP to under Fiscal Alternative Policy GAO (direct clipping of the document) In April of 2008, a revised version of this report foresaw that, in 30 years, the American public deficit could be placed enters 6% and 15% of the GIP, that is, an unsustainable situation. A intent observer will verify that in April, the GAO still esteem (vide graphical 1) that the public deficit in 2008 would be below of 4% of the GIP. However, at that moment the expenses with the confrontation of the banking crisis and the losses of decurrent collection of the deepening of the contraction had not been considered.
The result will show that already in 2008, the public deficit is close to 8% it the GIP, that is, almost US$ 1 trillion. The forecast for 2009 is that the deficit will be dramatical superior. External deficit BEA – U.S. International Transactions Accounts Date historical Series of 1960 nominal public Debt of U.S.A.